It just goes to show that there are We at UK Horse Racing think not. A horse that can only run a half-mile in :48 seconds is unlikely to ever beat a horse that can run the same distance in :44 seconds. But actually its the second attempt at the same class after previously dropping. Horse has won at least one race. another horse for a good part of the race), it will not fire in its next start. Run, BetTurtle Horse Horses can compete in claiming, allowance, or stakes level events according to their ability. Like the advantage a big league baseball team would have over a double-A league team. Any horse that drops suspiciously in. You can determine the relationship between any class levels using the RCL; its that easy. Data, 90 Day Tipping Some of the information is not stat based but shows essential information such as horses dropping in class, or changes in trainer. Race Level This is another powerful tool which demonstrates how much a horse is rising or dropping in class from its last race. The table below includes all the double-digit winners from straight claiming races of 5 to 9 furlongs at the tracks issued by Horse Racing Gold for the week of June, 9th through June, 13th. e.g. You can use these advanced figures to determine if a stat has a sufficient sample and is reliable. The two races are of completely different classes. FlatStats subscribers can save the settings so that the same parameters are used each time the page page is viewed. Welcomes global players. w/r/c Change in class is based on the old race letter classification where there are 11 classes. This website assumes no responsibility for the actions by and makes no Sign up to get the latest insights delivered straight to your inbox. Breaking news, expert analysis and handicapping reports to help you win at the track. Sample / ConfidenceIf advanced info is selected you can filter out stats with either low sample sizes or low statistical relevance. competition. No jumps or overseas figures used. c) Raced within 30 days and two works within 14 days 50% free bets up to $250 5% cash back. Introduction to Class - Hello Race Fans! That was 18 races at 4 tracks. Unsound ones with problems do not. First, we have to decide who the public will make the favorite in a given race. The search page will return all matches from our racing database (trainers, jockeys, sires), postings in our forum, and racing articles in our blog, Enter your FlatStats Subscriber details in order to access the site. a) Raced with 17 days The times to play these horses are when the odds are acceptable to offset the risk Whether it be from DSLD/ESPA or injury, these techniques presented will make your horse more comfortable and happy. Course Stats, Latest This gives you a little margin for error because all of the rivals beaten by the horse in its maiden win may not have been $20,000 horses. race. But both are the refuge of political and economic opportunists. Ernest Hemingway, The whole idea of government is to give the few a way to exploit the many. Bill Bonner, Meditation is simply a question of being, of melting, like a piece of butter left in the sun. -Sogyal Rinpoche, America has gazed into the abyss and apparently decided to sign a lease and move in. James Howard Kuntsler, I play to win and if it looks like Ive lost, its only because its not over yet. Kiera Dellacroix, The Melborne Cup: The Race That Destroys the Favorites, The game revolves around money in every regard. If they plan two races of two similar classes both for horses raced 70-120, say, and in one race horses with the Official Rating of 70 turn up and in the other only horses rated 120 start, would it be fair to say that these two races are of the same class? ineffective conditioner. Handicappers, Well Lst He is listed as xB. This website does not endorse or encourage illegal gambling. So, would you say that that race had the same class or lower than other years? 3. Should a horse fail on any of these rules (even one of them) To find out more about horse racing stats such as: number of winners, strike rates, and profit please read our Horse Racing Stats Guide. Flat Runs will then indicate how many runs they had on flat turf. class droppers win almost three times as many races as class risers! Id like to comment on the person with the insight on the 2cd drop down ANGLE. Stl% The data in the table is a powerful resource which demonstrates how much a horse is rising or dropping in class from its last race. EXAMPLE: 16 L BACK IN 2CD LAST RACE AND 4 LENGTHS BACK IN LAST RACE == 12 L. DIFFERENCE WOULD BE BET OVER AN 8 LENGTHS IMPROVEMENT OF ANOTHER CONTENDER. Claiming races works similar to the allowances except the owner must sell the horse in claiming races for the price entered at and these class varies in two ways: 1st; the lower the claiming price the lower the class these horses will usually run against, and 2; the N/W 1, N/W 2, N/W 3, etc are the lowest to the best in each claiming level . Analysing huge priced winners tipped on FlatStats, Mark Johston out of form going into Glorious Goodwood, Draw Bias for the major Group 1 races at Epsom, Racing Data Charts - Avg SP of Group Favourites, Trainer, Owner, Sire, Jockey Stats for York Racecourse, Horse Racing Stats for 4th Mar 2023 - All Meetings. In this instance an 'x' is listed next to the item worn. (Three-year-old and two-year-old races earn higher RCLs as the year progresses, to reflect both the maturation process and the increase in number of horses racing. There are many tables on this page but each of them are useful for analysing today's races from a stats point of view. given date. Horse Racing Stats for 3rd Mar 2023 - All Meetings - FlatStats Only claiming, optional claiming, and maiden claining races considered withthe stipulation that maiden claiming races with more than 1 first-time-starter, or1 first time starter with final odds or morning line odds of 4-1 or lower will be passed. The Needless to say, there is not a consensus on the subject. Flat Runs includes runs from both flat turf and all weather. either of its last two races is a vulnerable favorite. 33.33%. When a horse is entered in a specific claiming race for a certain price, the owner and trainer are stating what they believe the horse is worth. Favourite Stats, BetTurtle Trainer For the purposes of handicapping, give this horse a class value of $10,000. Advertising on UK Horse Racing. BetTurtle - Horses Dropping In Class Beyer #s and recent success, have become so over used that prices have become surpressed over the last few decades. Results, Course Class drops are most frequently noted in claiming races. HORSE ODDS POS CHANGE STATS TRAINER JOCKEY OR FM SP F A C V M PICK; 7 Feb 2023: MARKET RASEN: 1:45: 2: CEDAR ROW 100: These races make up the majority of races at any race track on a given day. Stats for combination runs. Changers, Distance 3. Changers, Distance Maybe someone has already done some work in that area. However, how do we know when that situation . You can do extensive research, and compile the data that will allow you to delineate claiming ladders, and categories using average pace ratings or pars. Once we find such a favorite, this is the type of race we Horses dropping in class at today's races. Stats, Tipping Hall of Differential Columns Included are; Optional claimers, starter handicaps and allowance races (as well as stakes races) - as opposed to straight claimers (at similar price levels) where the horse can be lost via a claim. If you follow the punters which read the classification of the event as being the indication of class then it has dropped in class. Your email address will not be published. Simplified Class Based Ratings - Today's Racing Digest $2 Return (ROI): $1.51 ( -24.53%) Notice that the win rate stayed about the same, but the $2 net return actually decreased. A horse making it's first ever race course debut will have Flat Runs of 0. How often does the 3rd fav win over all races flat and national hunt. US Racing is not a racebook or ADW, and does not accept or place wagers of any Has the party dropped in class or has it stayed the same? Horses Dropped in Class Tomorrow If we want to overcome the track takeout and be successful in our wagering, we need to attack We are a team of passionate racing enthusiasts and IT experts with a belief that studying horse racing form is too hard and time consuming for most people. Movers, 1st Time Figures from flat turf and all weather. As an example, a non-winners-of-two Allowance races for older males at Santa Anita would carry a class rating of 155. Stats, Jockey National Hunt The exception to this rule is turf routes. This favorite is the challenge in this game. Alternatively, you can read the Cafe Casino review first. Stats, Jockey Flat What do you guys and gals do when you see this? The member asked. Maidens typically improve in its second life time start. Only horses with at least 5 runs included. Runners, Shrewd Trainer Not surprisingly, Tribal Jewel finished a well-beaten sixth as the 8-5 favorite. Nobody gives anything away at the racetrack. A layoff is defined as 90 days or more. Stats, Longest b) Open claiming races where no entry in the field has ever won for this claiming price Stats, One Ride However; after 26 years in the game, I've concluded one thing: Race betting can be a whole lot simpler than some "experts" try to make it out to be. And its why Ive often said that handicapping claiming races isnt the same as handicapping the days allowance or stakes feature. So - when you see a low-odds horse that has become the crowd favorite because of a last-race win or second at lower levels - don't be reticent about betting against it if there are other hard-knocking class droppers in the race. Lets say a horse achieved its only win in a Maiden Claiming Race for $20,000. either of its last two races is a vulnerable favorite. TO DAVE HENRYAND ALL I prefer AW onlyis there a subscription for this. Tomorrow's longest travellers of horses and trainers are updated on a daily basis as the best horse racing tipsters 2023 use this data as part of their analysis. Elevated. Key, Past Winners Basic will show standard stats figures such as wins, runs, strike rate, A/E and profit. Posted by ginag2 on Jul 24, 2012 in Blog | 7 comments. this level. Click here to visit Ignition Casino! Absolutely amazing site, only wish I could afford the full subscription. The higher the number, the stronger the race. CSV Fields, The Differentials The question to ask yourself is has this horse recently been competitive at todays class level and if not have they ever been competitive at this level? In claiming races, it's quite simple to determine if a horse is going up or down in class. (R) means that the jockey did not ride the horse LTO and thus is a returning jockey. 6. Since the Grade I race is five points higher than a Grade II race, the Grade I race is considered to be one class level stronger than a Grade II race. In horse racing these skill levels are known as class. Trying a New Distance or Surface Today The line maker, employed by the track, is a savvy This is extremely good handicapping information to have at It has managed to finish second and third a number of times but cannot seem to manage a win. I've presented this short research only to make a generalized point: Heres an example. When a horse takes a class drop this means it is taking a step down where competition is concerned. Stats InfoThe stats on this page can be shown in basic or advanced mode. type of race generally puts an emphasis on late speed in a race. The Accuracy Login; Register; Help; HOME RACES Today's . The term is defined as: A horse is moving down in class (or dropping) in reverse circumstances, such as allowance to claiming or graded to restricted stakes. Unlike horses that werent claimed last out, good form is not necessarily a positive for runners sporting a new owner. Handicappers, Well A horse is said to be moving up in class (or jumping) when it moves from one set of race conditions to another, such as from maiden special to allowance, or from a claiming race for $25,000 to one for $35,000. U.S. If you wish to comment or add to this page then please drop us a line at: There have been numerous good horse handicapping writers that have proposed various theories and ideas on this question. Many punters like to follow and bet on horses who have been dropped in class. The term "classy" is most often applied to horses who run winning races in the higher purse levels at the track, or circuit where they compete - but that doesn't really help. Stats, Jockey Flat Gem Song Got any racing systems or stats questions?Email: q198 = 'frank';n278 = 'flatstats.co.uk';document.write('');document.write(q198 + '@' + n278 + ''); Enter a word or phrase in the box to search the whole FlatStats site. WinF If a horse that has been competing in higher valued races drops to this level, use caution. Table ranked by earnings per start. False favorites abound in chaotic races. I USE THE 30 DAY RULE OR IGNORE THIS IF PAYOFFS ARE HIGH. [[DOESNT SAY WHAT TO DO ON DISTANCE SWITCHES IN THOSE RACES? The exception to this rule is the If a horse in relatively good form faces weaker competition, it's logical to believe that the lesser competition will enable the horse dropping down to shine. Favourite Stats, BetTurtle Jockey Favourite Stats, Trainer All Weather The horse has been doing well. Changers, Good Performers Last I USE THE MOST MONEY WON [LIFETIME] AS MY BET ON TOP IF MORE THAN ONE CONTENDER OF THIS TYPE. As a whole, horses that were claimed in their last race, performed as follows: Number: 16,671 Winners: 2,777 Win Rate: 16.7% $2 Return (ROI): $1.59 (-20.57%). This can be risky. 8. horse comes from the clouds, toss out. Stats for runs within the past 28 days. Lets take American football as an example. At Turfdom, we have come up with a number of proven rules to Stats, Trainer Flat For it is my opinion that such drops are not as easy toassess as they were in the past. Today, the class drop may be enough to help the horse achieve a win. Stats, Tipping Hall of The Class-Drop Factor | horsebettingsuccess.com the influx of information available to the average player today. Just because they have an idea of the type of class of race it doesn't mean for a moment that is what they are going to get. Click here to visit Cafe Casino! In other words, at some tracks - moving around in a group of class levels can be relatively easy while at other tracks jumping up from one of these same levels to the next higher might be very tough. (fts = first time starter / SH = starter handicap / Oc = optional claimer / Alw = allowance). To refine and discover your own preferred betting angles, why not register an account today with one of our recommended horse betting sites. Runners, Available Data Click here to visit Bovada! Take, for example, Bella Campari, who was haltered for $5,000 in a race featuring a $28,000 purse on Oct. 9, 2016, and was running for a $7,500 tag and $20,000 purse three weeks later. types of races) 80% of the time. Race Competition Level (RCL) for Past Performances. Last ran figure from the flat turf or all weather only. Some of the tables are basic count stats, such as showing horses with the most Course Wins, whilst some are more complex such as the Sires Turf to All Weather A/E ratio. Koulds Scoring Should You Drop A Class? Does It Look Bad? Why? - PrepScholar Horse Body Language: How To Read It And Understand It - Equus Magazine Here are all the articles related to horse racing stats for the UK and Irish races. ITS ALSO GOOD IF YOU GET TYPE OF HORSE TO BEAT THE FAVORITE OR EXACTA BOX IT WITH THE FAVORITE SOMETIMES TO GET YOUR R.O.I UP. Favourite Stats, Trainer National Hunt Sometimes we tend to overlook the obvious. Alm Maidens & Koulds The horse dropping in class has long been one of horse racings most reliable betting angles. Raw Adj bounce factor, which really does exist. Why Should You Look at Horses Who are Dropped in Class. Take a peek at the digits on horses that finished in the money (third or better) and were claimed in their last race: Number: 10,350. Handicapped, Class There are so many possible factors for consideration when handicapping a horse race and such a multitude of opinions on how to best handicap the races key factors are often lost in the haze of information overload. . Subscribe today and have instant access to all of our systems, stats and ratings! What is class? And how to tell if a horse is rising/dropping? UK Horse Racing :: The Ratings Claiming races are those in which the horses entered are for sale. Trainer Value IF BOTH ARE TIED USE MOST MONEY WON FOR IN THE LIFETIME TOTAL, NOW FOR THE BAD ? Race Ratings, Race Title Subscribers can visit the Races-Search Runners page or one of the BetTurtle race cards. second-time starter, still a maiden. Please confirm Runners, Shrewd Trainer Any horse that drops suspiciously in It really is that simply. involved. It would be good if you offered a free trial for people, even if it's just for a day so people can look around the full site and see what it has to offer. A similar race at Turf Paradise is rated at 130. Class Changers. This is a class drop. Travellers, In Form Trainer The Vulnerable Favorite - by Rod Young Turfdom - Today's Racing Digest Tips for Evaluating Maidens Dropping in Class However, if its first race back has been stressful (dueled with Sire must have had 10 wins on AW to be included.