Here are the seven Senate seats most likely to flip in November: Pennsylvania. Hansell decides not to seek reelection in 2024 | Local News The 10 Senate seats most likely to flip in 2022 - CBS58 [66], Two-term Democrat Mazie Hirono was re-elected in 2018 with 71.2% of the vote. U.S. Sen. Raphael Warnock was one half of a shocking Democratic sweep during Georgia's epic Jan. 5 runoffs. Nebraska Gov. One Republican, Mike Braun, and two Democrats, Debbie Stabenow and Dianne Feinstein, have announced an intention to retire. Research: Josh Altic Vojsava Ramaj Heinrich has announced his intent to run for a third term. -webkit-columns: 1; [61], Four-term Democrat Tom Carper was re-elected in 2018 with 60.0% of the vote. Do Democrats need a past superstar to hold the White House in 2024? She has announced her intention to run for a third term. Mitt Romney is up in 2024, will be 77 on election day, and doesn't really need donor support. Top 10 U.S. Senate races that are most likely to flip : NPR See also Class III Senators (Up for Re-election in 2022) by State. Still, Republicans are expected to contest the seat fiercely next year. The special election will be held to fill the last two years of the six-year term that Ben Sasse (R) was elected to in 2020. I feel great. Senate Democrats are preparing to play defense in 2024 as they look to preserve their narrow majority in the upper chamber. Senators in Class I were elected to office in the November 2018 general election, unless they took their seat through appointment or special election. And this is not the place for that announcement, said Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse of Rhode Island. @media screen and (max-width: 892px) { Here Are The Most Vulnerable Republican Senators Up For Reelection In Congressman Mike Gallagher (WI-08), former Congressman Sean Duffy (2011-2019), and Congressman Bryan Steil (WI-01) are seen as potential Republican challengers.[116]. By Kathryn Watson. Jacquelyn Martin/AP Photo, Arizonans are in the middle of a very busy election season, and its important we focus our resources on keeping Mark Kelly in the Senate instead of starting the next campaign anytime soon. and Ohio (where Rob Portman is up for reelection . [104][105], Utah Attorney General Sean Reyes has expressed interest in challenging Romney in the Republican primary. 2024 Senate Race : r/VoteBlue - reddit.com Some members of the House are throwing their names on the ballot for a seat in the upper chamber, while a handful of senators have launched campaigns for reelection. "We need a new generation of leaders that . Sen. Tammy Baldwin (D-Wis.) addresses reporters following the weekly policy luncheon on Tuesday, November 29, 2022. No candidates. Doug Ducey, has said that hes not considering a Senate bid. Meet Ruben Gallego, Kyrsten Sinema's Possible Primary Challenger Murphy has announced he is running for a third term. Elections to the U.S. Senate will be held on November 5, 2024, and 33 of the 100 seats are up for regular election. Of course, the big question is whether Brown can do it again. A decision on reelection should be expected by mid-April 2023. So, no decision.. Since 1980, only twice has more than two democrat incumbents been defeated." 2 Senate Democrats join GOP in rejecting socially conscious investing [6] Three Democrats in this class represent states won by Donald Trump in both 2016 and 2020 (Montana, Ohio, and West Virginia), while no Republicans represent states won by Joe Biden in 2020. because some [Republicans] will lose. Gillibrand is running for a third full term. Several senators are waiting to see how the midterms shake out in a month before making any moves, according to interviews and statements from 22 of the 23 sitting Democrats up in 2024. United States Senate elections, 2024 - Ballotpedia Some of those wrestling with whether to run hold safe seats, like Ben Cardin of Maryland and Tom Carper of Delaware. [40][39] The . There are no Republican senators up for reelection in 2024 in states that Biden won. Whats clear is that the race is emerging as one of the most contentious in the country. By helping Democrats pass a landmark $750 billion climate, tax and health care bill, Sens. Senate Democrats are looking at a tough map for 2024. Sen. Tammy Baldwin (D-Wis.) said that I think Im gonna run for re-election, Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D-Minn.) said shes made it very clear shes running again, and Sen. Bob Casey (D-Pa.) said running again is my goal. Democrats up for reelection in 2024: California: Dianne Feinstein (retiring) . Cardin is currently deciding on a potential retirement. Arizona Rep. Ruben Gallego announces Senate bid, set to challenge Sen. Kyrsten Sinema, Democratic support for Biden in 2024 surges after midterms as Trump takes a hit, In search of the perfect president: What Americans say they want, from age to gender, Your California Privacy Rights/Privacy Policy. [42], Republican State Senator Matt Dolan has announced his candidacy,[94] and Ohio Secretary of State Frank LaRose is considered another potential challenger to Brown. Further, Democrats are defending seats in six states that Biden won by a single-digit margin (Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Nevada, Michigan, Minnesota, and Maine) while Republicans are defending only two seats in states that Trump won by a single-digit margin (Florida and Texas). That fact alone makes Nevada one of the GOPs best pickup opportunities for 2024. OnPolitics: What the 2022 midterms will mean for the 2024 election, Stay in the conversation on politics: Sign up for the OnPolitics newsletter. After the elections, Sen. Kyrsten Sinema announced she had changed her party affiliation from Democrat to independent. | There are 34 seats up in 2024 - including a special election in Nebraska - of which 23 are held by Democrats or Independents. Here are the candidateswho have announced theirSenate plans for 2024: More:Arizona Rep. Ruben Gallego announces Senate bid, set to challenge Sen. Kyrsten Sinema. [23], Two-term Democrat Kirsten Gillibrand was re-elected in 2018 with 67.0% of the vote. [77], Four-term Democrat Debbie Stabenow was re-elected in 2018 with 52.3% of the vote. LIVE - GOP Senators Press Conference: President Biden's Retirement Rip-off Incumbents up for election in these three states are independents. Stabenow announced on Jan. 5, she will not run for reelection in 2024. Others were more firm. I'm definitely running, said Jacky Rosen. Those in ME/VT are part of the Democratic caucus, while Sen. Sinema in AZ is more loosely affiliated. See also Class II Senators (Up for Re-election in 2020) by State. Republicans Still Have A Clear Path To Retaking The Senate In 2024 ", "Ohio's Sen. Sherrod Brown says he's running for reelection in 2024", "Ohio Sen. Sherrod Brown draws his first GOP challenger in key 2024 race", "2022 candiate for CD 1 and current U.S. Senate candidate, @AllenWatersRI (D), tells me it's "To be determined" if he switches from running for Senate to running for the soon-to-be open seat. Tom Cotton (R-AK), Rubio, and Paul, have seemingly passed on a 2024 stint. The 2024 Senate race in Michigan appeared promising for Democrats just a couple of weeks ago. But the much bigger wheels in the wheeling and dealing, senators Joe Manchin and Kyrsten Sinema, aren't up for reelection in 2022 at all. One-term Republican Marsha Blackburn was elected in 2018 with 54.7% of the vote. 2023 USA TODAY, a division of Gannett Satellite Information Network, LLC. [6] Should Carper retire, U.S. Representative Lisa Blunt Rochester (D-DE) and Governor John Carney are both seen as potential candidates for the Democratic nomination, with Rochester having already expressed interest. And Ill probably make a decision early next year. (Al Drago/Pool via AP). And one of their strongest potential recruits, former Gov. Three keys states in the 2024 cycle that feature Democratic senators up for reelection in states Donald Trump won in 2020. Democratic Rep. Elissa Slotkin on Monday announced her candidacy for a U.S. Senate seat from Michigan, a critical battleground state in the 2024 election. -webkit-columns: 1; U. S. border security (or at least much better than the disaster now being perpetrated on the American people) can be achieved in 2023 by strong Republican majorities in the U. S. House and Senate elected in the 2022 midterms then pressure applied to the 23 Democrat U. S. senators up for reelection in 2024 to achieve the 60 votes in the Senate needed to override a presidential veto by Joe Biden. Sen. Tim Kaine (D-Va.) said he wont decide on his 2024 plan until the end of this year or early next but is vigorously fundraising, doing everything that a candidate does. Sen. Bernie Sanders Other high-profile Democrats, like Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg and Gov. (ret.) Indiana: Mike Braun (Braun is running for Governor in 2024. WASHINGTON (AP) President Joe Biden visited the Senate on Thursday to demonstrate unity among Democrats but he ended up endorsing a Republican priority instead. At the same time, Montana isnt exactly a swing state. Results are updated daily at 9:30 a.m. EST and aggregated from the most recent polls from the sources listed in the methodology section below. Incumbent: Democrat Maggie Hassan. After a 2022 Senate election that had Republicans defending more seats, Democrats will be on the defense for 23 of the 34 seats up for election in 2024. . Progressive Hawaii Sen. Mazie Hirono is running for reelection, spokesperson Maddy Russak said. This 3-part Senate map lets you view the current Senate, make a forecast for the 2024 Senate elections, and see the composition of the 2025 Senate based on those predictions. All 33 Senators Up for Re-election in 2024 Listed by State. The vast majority, 23 of the 34, senators up for reelection in 2024 caucus with the Democrats. Sen. Jon Tester, the three-term Democratic senator from Montana, is up for re-election in 2024. Sen. Sherrod Brown (D-Ohio) speaks about President Joe Bidens infrastructure agenda near the Brent Spence Bridge, Wednesday, Jan. 4, 2023, in Covington, Ky. (AP Photo/Patrick Semansky). [53], Due to Sinema's opposition to some of President Joe Biden's agenda, she is considered vulnerable to challengers from the Democratic Party,[54] with U.S. Representative Ruben Gallego running for the Democratic nomination. [91] Former Representative of New York's 1st congressional district and Republican nominee for Governor of New York in 2022, Lee Zeldin, has publicly expressed interest in seeking the Republican nomination to challenge Gillibrand.[92]. Three other remarkable potential candidates include Beto O'Rourke, 2018 Democratic candidate for U.S. Senate, Julin Castro, former U.S. Secretary of Housing and Urban Development, former Mayor of San Antonio, and candidate for President in 2020, and Representative Joaquin Castro (TX-13). Im definitely running, said Sen. Jacky Rosen (D-Nev.), who ousted a GOP incumbent in 2018. Michigan Republicans are anxious about 2024 as the party recovers from a disappointing midterm and struggles to find a way to reset in a key battleground state. Two-term Republican Deb Fischer was re-elected in 2018 with 57.7% of the vote. Independent Senators Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) and Angus King (I-Maine) caucus with the Democratic Party. [113] However, on October 5, 2022, Manchin said, "What I do in 2024 has nothing to do with what I do right now," and was watching the 2022 elections before making a decision. If O'Rourke wins the Democratic nomination, then this would be a rematch of 2018 between him and Cruz. Nevertheless, Republicans are hoping to field a stronger challenger next time around, intent on avoiding a repeat of 2022. Policy: Christopher Nelson Caitlin Styrsky Molly Byrne Katharine Frey Jimmy McAllister Samuel Postell In the first post-redistricting election members are divided into two classes; one class shall serve a 2-year term and the other class shall serve a 4-year term. Democrat Dylan Fain has also filed paperwork to run. Sen. Joe Manchin (D-W.Va.) speaks during a news conference on Sept. 20, 2022, at the Capitol in Washington. As with any other 2024 state, you can use the Map Color Palette or rotate through the colors by clicking on the map. [1] California uses a nonpartisan blanket primary, in which all candidates regardless of party affiliation appear on the same primary ballot and the two highest-placing . United States Senate Election, 2026 (Nkechinyer) | Future | Fandom Trump burns up 2024 primary polling with incredible numbers https . The following table provides an overview of the incumbent and candidates in 2024 Senate races. She has announced her intent to run for a fourth term. Senate Democrats are staring down the risk of their own Great Resignation in 2024. Rosen is running for a second term. [31], One-term Republican Josh Hawley was elected in 2018 with 51.4% of the vote. [49] [114], Manchin has received cross-party endorsements from fellow senators Susan Collins (R-ME) and Lisa Murkowski (R-AK). Class I - Senators Whose Term of Service Expire in 2025. Two times as many Democrat incumbents are up for reelection. And the people of Delaware have been kind enough to elect me statewide 14 times and when I travel around the state, the support and encouragement I receive is frankly unparalleled with anything Ive heard in all the years Ive been doing this. If Mark Kelly comes up short for reelection, it will almost certainly be because the national environment pushed his very marginal . 2024 Senate Outlook: Republican Seats Up for Grabs [23], Two-term Democrat Joe Manchin was re-elected in 2018 with 49.6% of the vote. 2024 United States Senate elections - Wikipedia But candidate strength is unsettled", "Dianne Feinstein will not seek re-election, ending pioneering political career", "Ro Khanna says he's looking at the Senate", https://www.politico.com/news/2022/10/05/senate-dems-reelection-00060062, "Delaware's Heated Senate Race Threatens to Rip Apart Its Centrist Political Fabric", https://www.politico.com/news/2023/02/03/maryland-dems-cardin-reelection-00081005, "Melbourne lawyer floats Primary challenge to Rick Scott", https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/3773788-rick-scott-faces-uncertain-future-after-bruising-midterm-year/, https://www.orlandosentinel.com/politics/os-ne-stephanie-murphy-leaves-congress-20221201-nidvjwxforhr7g66ye5h365ota-story.html, "GOP Rep. Banks jumps into race for open Indiana Senate seat", "Hoosier free-for-all? The survey released on Sunday . How Many Seats In The House Of Representatives Are Up For Reelection In On the other hand, Republicans havent yet settled on a candidate either. While Fetterman won his race last year, Democrats and many Republicans say that Oz was a particularly weak candidate. Sinema was elected as a Democrat and switched to become an independent in December 2022. Not only will they be defending more than twice as many Senate seats as Republicans, but theyll likely be on the ballot with President Biden, whose approval rating remains relatively low. [95], Three-term Democrat Bob Casey Jr., was re-elected in 2018 with 55.7% of the vote. . [70][71], Two-term Independent incumbent Angus King was re-elected in 2018 with 54.3% of the vote. Democrats and Republicans alike expected this contest to . She announced she would not caucus with Republicans. See also Class I Senators by Senator's Last Name. Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. next post . He intends to run for a third-term despite previously hinting that he may retire. Offices up for Election in 2022 - Texas The map below shows what seats are up for election and the incumbent ahead of the election. Tip: The width in the code can be adjusted to best fit your space. The 2024 United States Senate election in California will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of California. House Speaker Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) took aim at former Representative Liz Cheney's (R-WY) possible 2024 bid in a new fundraising email obtained by the Washington Examiner. Sen. Jon Tester (D-Mont.) 33 Class II senate seats were up for re-election. Reportedly, he and former President Donald Trump have had conversations on when Reyes will run, should he choose to. (AP Photo/Mariam Zuhaib, File). Against that backdrop, at least eight members of Chuck Schumers caucus are agonizing over whether to run again, and a couple hail from states that may be lost to the GOP if the incumbent bows out. The 2022 midterm elections in Pennsylvania didnt go as Republicans had hoped. Cruz is running for a third-term despite advocating for congressional term limits. Sen. Robert Casey (D-Pa.) addresses reporters during a press conference on Thursday, December 1, 2022 to discuss the Pregnant Workers Fairness Act. Others represent perennial battlegrounds, like Jon Tester of Montana and Joe Manchin of West Virginia, both of whom survived the 2018 midterm cycle that evicted four colleagues from red or swing states. Potential Democratic candidates include former Vermont attorney general, T. J. Donovan,[107] and incumbent Vermont lieutenant governor, David Zuckerman,[108] a Progressive. United States Congress elections, 2024 - Ballotpedia Incumbent: Democrat Sherrod Brown. It Turns Out 2024 Will Be Even More Difficult for Senate Democrats Mar. [5], The map for these elections, like in the previous Class 1 Senate election in 2018, is considered by elections analysts to be unfavorable to Democrats, who will be defending 23 of the 33 seats of Class 1. Others haveannounced they would not be seeking another term, like California Democratic Sen. Dianne Feinstein,thelongest serving senator in the state, who announced in February she will be retiring. The 2024 Senate map could be brutal for Democrats - The Washington Post Senators seeking reelection include Kaine (VA), Brown (OH) and Gillibrand (NY): Ohio Democratic Sen. Sherrod Brown. [23] Hedge fund manager Eric Hovde, candidate for Senate in 2012, has publicly expressed interest in a second attempt at earning the Republican nomination. Special elections may be held to fill vacancies that occur in the 118th Congress.. Of the 33 regularly scheduled elections in 2024, 10 seats are held by Republicans, 20 seats are held by Democrats and three seats are held by independents who caucus with Democrats. (from left) Raphael Warnock, D-Ga., Catherine Cortez Masto, D-Nev., and Ron Johnson, R-Wis., are all facing . (Greg Nash). The party is defending more than twice as many seats as Republicans, and its already facing the possibility that some of its incumbents could retire, leaving open competitive seats. And holding the majority this fall in a tough environment could help keep some incumbents happier about running for reelection. After all, shes won twice before by solid margins. One special election is also scheduled for November 5, 2024. Sen. Sherrod Brown (D-Ohio) survived his last reelection bid in 2018, handing Democrats a key win in a former swing state that has lurched further and further to the right in recent years. Senate Dems face brutal 2024 map with at least eight undecided This cycle Sen. Patrick Leahy (D-Vt.) is retiring from his safe seat, a move that opens up both his job as the chambers longest-serving member and his Appropriations Committee gavel. Dec. 7, 2022, at 11:18 AM. DE(Carper-D) if Carper-D retires, the Democratic nominee is likely to be Blunt Rochester-D. MD(Cardin-D) if Cardin-D retires, the Democratic nominee is likely to be John Sarbanes-D. VT(Sanders-I) if Sanders-D retires, the Democratic nominee is likely to be . The party has capitalized on appealing to both moderates and liberals in the state in recent years, and theres at least some concern that the presence of both Sinema and a Democrat in the race could divide that vote. It is the percentage of people polled who responded favorably toward the work of the U.S. Senate and House of Representatives. Former President Donald Trump won Montana by 16 points and West Virginia by 39 points, but Democrats concerns extend further afield. [84][5] Former governor and 2006 Senate nominee Pete Ricketts was appointed by Governor Jim Pillen and a special election for the seat will take place concurrently with the 2024 regular Senate elections. He told Spectrum News he will be running to . West Virginia's @JoeManchinWV hasn't decided yet) 02 Mar 2023 14:30:09 So I hope to run for re-election" in the Senate, he said. Governor Greg Gianforte is also seen as a potential candidate for the Republican nomination, as his first term expires in January 2025, and this is just in time for reelection or a Senate run.[83]. Click here to contact us for media inquiries, and please donate here to support our continued expansion. Pete Ricketts tapped to fill Sasse's Senate seat", "Lt. Col. Should he retire, U.S. representatives Jamie Raskin and David Trone, and Prince George's County Executive Angela Alsobrooks are seen as potential candidates in the Democratic primary. On February 14, 2023, Feinstein announced that she will not seek re-election to a sixth term. The 2022 Senate race in Nevada was one of the most competitive of last years midterm elections. I am all in. [68][69], Former Senator Joe Donnelly is a potential challenger for the Democratic nomination in an effort to win back a seat that he lost in 2018. Even as the caucus pushes to expand a 50-50 majority this fall, it's bracing for a fight to defend 23 seats to the GOPs 10 in the next election cycle many of them in red and purple territory. [64][65], Former U.S. Representative Stephanie Murphy (2017-2023) is seen as a potential challenger for the Democratic nomination. Im definitely running., Sen. Jacky Rosen (D-Nev.) in an interview. She left the Democratic Party in December 2022. [112], Four-term Democrat Maria Cantwell was re-elected in 2018 with 58.3% of the vote. if("undefined"==typeof window.datawrapper)window.datawrapper={};window.datawrapper["hCF0u"]={},window.datawrapper["hCF0u"].embedDeltas={"100":631,"200":498,"300":449,"400":435,"500":400,"600":400,"700":400,"800":400,"900":400,"1000":386},window.datawrapper["hCF0u"].iframe=document.getElementById("datawrapper-chart-hCF0u"),window.datawrapper["hCF0u"].iframe.style.height=window.datawrapper["hCF0u"].embedDeltas[Math.min(1e3,Math.max(100*Math.floor(window.datawrapper["hCF0u"].iframe.offsetWidth/100),100))]+"px",window.addEventListener("message",function(a){if("undefined"!=typeof a.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var b in a.data["datawrapper-height"])if("hCF0u"==b)window.datawrapper["hCF0u"].iframe.style.height=a.data["datawrapper-height"][b]+"px"}); There are 33 U.S. Senate seats up for regular election in 202410 seats held by Republicans, 20 held by Democrats, and three held by independents who caucus with Democrats. That sets up a potentially fraught political predicament for the president, who is expected to soon announce his 2024 campaign, given how Republicans have and continue to emphasize public safety and crime as major concerns. I am all in. columns: 3; Social worker Christina Khalil and mayor Joe Signorello have announced primary challenges against Memendez. } By default, all three are counted with the Democrats, as that best reflects the current situation. Why Michigan Republicans are fretting about 2024 | ONN Radio Whats more, many Democrats believe that Manchin is perhaps the only Senate candidate who can beat a Republican in West Virginia, and he hasnt yet committed to running for another term. You can separately choose how to count each independent for purposes of determining majority control. Im thinking about it. Special elections during the preceding Congress. Email us. [33], Marine Veteran Lucas Kunce, who ran unsuccessfully for the Democratic nomination in 2022, has announced he is running again. } Democrat Chicago Mayor Lori Lightfoot LOSES reelection over failed soft-on-crime policies. } [26], U.S. Representative Jared Golden (ME-02) is considered a potential candidate for the Democratic nomination. [89], Educator, and former member of the Andover Township Board of Education, Daniel Cruz has declared his candidacy for the Republican nomination. REPORT: Joe Manchin Sees the Writing on the Wall "D#" is a Democratic/active senator, "I#" is an Independent senator, and "R#" is a Republican/active senator. These predictions looked at factors such as the strength of the incumbent (if the incumbent was running for reelection) and the other candidates, and the state's partisan lean (reflected in part by the state's Cook Partisan Voting Index rating). Each block represents one of the one hundred seats in the U.S. Senate. Am I undecided? 2024 U.S Senate elections (Porvenir) | Future | Fandom But unlike 2018, when a blue wave helped propel Democrats into the House majority, the party is facing a tougher political landscape in 2024. Will the party let him? The majority partywill seek to defend their incumbents in key races again Republican rivals as they look to maintain their slim majority in a presidentialelection year where President Joe Biden will likelybe seeking hissecond term. . But for now, Sinema maintains a more conservative stance than fellow Democrats in Congress. The best way for Democrats to survive 2024s lopsided Senate map is to get as many of their battle-tested incumbents as possible to run again, and on that front, there is a bright side: In-cycle members in Nevada, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Michigan all plan to seek another term in 2024. Also tells me he "seriously will consider it". An Emboldened Biden Weighs Whether to Run for President Again in 2024 On January 20, 2023, Kaine confirmed he is running for reelection to a third term. Hirono is running for a third term. The following races are rated as safe for the incumbent party. These progressives are trying to make it happen", "2024 Senate map is a GOP dream. Article I, Section II of the Constitution says that each state shall have at least one U.S. Representative, while the total size of a state's delegation to the House depends on its population. [86][87][88], Three-term Democrat Bob Menendez was re-elected in 2018 with 54.0% of the vote. I appreciate that you have a terrific audience and a lot of people read you but youre not my vector for an announcement., Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse (D-R.I.) in an interview. Senate 2024: Five key figures yet to announce their plans