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Scouting reports were compiled with information provided by industry sources as well as our own observations. Axiel Plaz, C His arm action is very long, and he bends at his torso as he lunges toward the plate, allowing for more extension during his release, but also creating an uncomfy angle that adds stress to his shoulder. His letter-high, heater-heavy style of pitching, like Gerrit Coles, results in lots of fly balls and he may have long-term vulnerability to the home run. He mixed in four pitches, with his four-seamer and slider accounting for 88% of his pitches, and the changeup and two-seamer bringing up the rear. The recent track record of hitters this size isnt favorable, with only Franmil Reyes really panning out, but its exciting to watch Blanco take BP and see how loose and athletic he is for his size. His 2022 was not as remarkable from a walk and strikeout standpoint but it was still good, as he hit .270/.376/.418 with 38 extra-base hits (pretty good for the Florida State League) and 33 steals at Low-A Bradenton. . While he has a low three-quarters slot that creates natural tail on his heater, Kennedy can still create riding life at the letters. Some of his early-career success seems to have stemmed from his physical maturity. You can really see his athleticism and remarkable hip/shoulder separation on his throws down to second. Pirates Reds: NL West. Nicolas spent most of his college career in the bullpen, but hes held up well as a starter in pro ball, developing two distinct breaking balls that hes using much more than he did at Ball State. To that point in the season, his mid-teens walk rate had inspired guarded optimism regarding an improved approach, though Nunez also may have become intentionally passive, as his raw swing% was a minuscule 40%. He walked more than a batter per inning in 2022. Top 51 Prospects: Pittsburgh Pirates | FanGraphs Baseball The clubs hit rate on these trades per prospect isnt great, but the hit rate per trade has been better than that because of their risk-mitigating approach. That's nearly 30% of all their picks coming up as noteworthy prospects. His swing is quite uphill from the left side and he can tend to swing underneath fastballs up and away from him, but overall he is very difficult to make whiff inside the strike zone despite his steep-launch style of contact. Climbing the minor league ladder often comes with offensive slumps, many of which are cured as hitters accrue at-bats at the more advanced level. He re-emerged in 2022 as a 24-year-old at Triple-A, and had an offensive season commensurate with that of an extra outfield prospect, a lefty stick with more raw power than hed hit for in games, but enough bat to play a bench role provided hes capable of playing center field. The 11-15 group consists of Jared Jones, Ji-hwan Bae, Anthony Solometo, Kyle Nicolas and Jared Triolo. Injured Arms Barco is a low-slot lefty with advanced command and several underlying pitch traits that give clubs hope of more upside even though he looks like a lower-variance backend starter prospect on the surface. On Friday, FanGraphs released updated rankings. Solometo was a very high-profile amateur pitcher, drafted in the second round but given a bonus commensurate with the 24th overall pick ($2.8 million) as one of several exciting high schoolers who Pittsburgh landed with the pool space freed up by Henry Davis under slot agreement. Mechanically, Burrows adds additional length to his 6-foot-2 stature with an over-the-top delivery. Prospects 2022 Top 100 Prospects. In cases like these, sometimes the things that initially pique your interest, like data and/or available video, are enough to excite on their own even as you acknowledge that the error bars are as wide as can be because of the relative dearth of reinforcing club opinions. Hes already taken a sizable step in the breaking ball department in just two pros seasons. Andrew McCutchen / OF 3. A proactive bullpen move could put him in position to debut in 2024. Pittsburgh Pirates Prospects: Updated FanGraph Rankings RotoGraphs. The 2021 edition of this list featured some carping about Eric Longenhagen ranking Gabriel Moreno in the 100, because he was the exact kind of player who might not have been highly regarded in earlier eras of public prospect evaluation but who had all the markers of future success. Hes an arm strength reclamation project with a shot to pitch in Pittsburghs bullpen. His low-80s slider, which has late, two-plane bite, has improved considerably and is now an above-average big league pitch. This time around, the Top 100 has even more Moreno types, prospects who combine . His low, short-armed slot is like a righty version of Reiver Sanmartins delivery. He has the stuff to continue developing as a starter just in case things click, but the bullpen is Jimenezs more likely future destination. He appears tentative on routine throws and still isnt a sure-handed defender. He was one of the younger players available in the 2022 draft and yet at a listed 205 pounds, Kennedy is more physically mature than most of his peers, even some who are a year or two older than he is. A fresh start with a new org (he was a waiver claim this offseason) might help him find a swing that produces more power. After the season, he again played winter ball, this time in Puerto Rico with Carolina, where Cheng struggled. Besides Johnson and Harrington, two other 2022 draft picks made the top 30. 4/5 starter. While likely of low impact, Solometos feel to pitch will almost certainly enable him to be a big leaguer of some kind, either a backend starter or long reliever. This is the case with De Los Santos. Drafted 91st overall by the Toronto Blue Jays in 2021 out of a Huntington Beach junior college, the 20-year-old southpaw not only finished last season in Double-A, he dominated at all three levels where he saw action. Hes on the 40-man roster and will likely get a chance to sink or swim on the big league roster in 2023. In August of 2022, Jun-Seok announced he would skip the September KBO draft in order to sign with an MLB club right away. Play-by-play data prior to 2002 was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted Because theyre about the same age as high school draft prospects, apples-to-apples projection and tools comparisons are feasible, which then allows you to triangulate where theyd be selected in a draft based on those comparisons and get a sense of how to FV them. Pirates 2B Termarr Johnson | 18 | A | 2025. Not exactly on topic, but Id love to get some thoughts on the recently graduated Jack Suwinski. He spent much of the season leading off for Altoona, where he slashed .282/.376/.419 and stole 24 stolen bases. Now 24 and neither protected from nor claimed during the 2022 Rule 5 draft, its imperative for him to start throwing strikes more consistently in order to find his way to a big league bullpen. Hes a good enough defender that hed probably being playing shortstop had he ended up at Arizona State, but in pro ball the keystone is Johnsons likeliest defensive home given his maxed-out, stocky build and what projects to be somewhat limited range. Dombkowski is a lefty whose high-80s fastball plays up thanks to his low arm slot and excellent command over his above-average secondaries. Matt Gorski, OF He fills out the bottom half of the zone with his slider, itself an impressive bat-misser, thanks again to Dombkowskis command. Given how good he is at third, it seems likely that Triolo will be a good defensive second baseman if given enough time, and hes a fine emergency option at short (Kyle Farmer has played there a ton and Triolo is about that good). He would slot among Priester and Ortiz on this list had he completed a totally healthy 2022. He might end up becoming the player the industry hoped Francisco Meja would become. His fastball remains in the mid-90s but continues to underperform in terms of its bat-missing ability due to its hittable line. If he moves to first base, this will become especially scary. (2/2/2021) Theyve tripled since his claim-staking 2019 DSL season and Nolsaco Kd at a whopping 34% rate in the 2022 Florida State League. They had a ton of depth and a need to fill their Triple-A roster with external veterans in case of injury, and its likely that they mis-evaluated some of their own players who they should have protected, players like Trey McGough, Cristian Charle, Joelvis Del Rosario, Austin Roberts, Wilkin Ramos, Jared Oliva, and Peter Solomon, all of whom have either been on past prospect lists or were flagged for interesting performance or characteristics during this list cycle. Chen is a very advanced righty with a deep repertoire led by his plus changeup. Sunday Notes: Born To Brits, Harry Ford Could Be - blogs.fangraphs.com Hes 19 and struggled over the winter in Australia. March 3, 2023. He spins the hell out of everything that leaves his hand, in particular his slider, which averaged over 2,700 rpm, but his inability to fine tune his command puts a damper on its utility (his walk rate was an untenable 12.4% across his 75.2 innings of work). Barring a velo bump or another significant alteration to some of the more concerning elements of his profile, he looks like a single-inning up/down reliever. Maikol Escotto, 2B Chen began his career with 26 consecutive walk-free innings in the 2021 Florida Complex League, then spent all of 2022 at Bradenton, where he had a solid second pro season, carrying a 3.76 FIP across 98 innings. If he continues missing bats at High-A in 2023, though, Pittsburgh may be forced to add him. Nolasco had two years of surface-level statistical success in rookie ball and the huge exit velos to match, but now after three pro seasons, his strikeout rates show a troubling upward trend. The Pirates got a deal done for a cool million, nearly twice the slot amount in the fourth round. Aspects of the offensive profile that made him exciting in the first place are still here, led by Pegueros compact but authoritative swing, which is especially good at punishing pitches at the very top of the strike zone. How impactful a starter may depend on how his changeup, currently a tertiary offering, develops at the big league level. brewers top prospects fangraphs The older brother of Ohio State wide receiver phenom Jaxson Smith-Njigba, Canaan is another of the many prospects acquired from the Yankees for Jameson Taillon. The pitch has natural tailing action, but Ortiz can also blow it past hitters at the letters when he wants, and his TrackMan data shows hes mixing in four- and two-seamers in the locations where theyre most effective. Ideally, Nicolas can develop an offering that has some arm-side movement, one better than his current changeup that can prevent hitters from sitting on those glove-side locations. The ETAs listed generally correspond to the year a player has to be added to the 40-man roster to avoid being made eligible for the Rule 5 draft. They have Hunter. Pirates Prospects Daily: Bryan Reynolds Plays Left Field In His Spring The timing of his surgery is more detrimental than that of the other college pitchers, as it ups the odds that he wont (or will barely) pitch in 2023. His slider lacks nasty, biting movement, but his arm slot makes it tough on lefty hitters, and his command of it gives it back-foot utility against righties. Thats something to watch as Jones continues to progress through the minors. Let's Identify Some Hitter Sleeper Candidates | FanGraphs Baseball We considered Glenn a high priority senior sign in the 2021 draft, but he needed to hit all the way up the minor league ladder and didnt do that in 2022. Jayne Kamin-Oncea-USA TODAY Sports. Cederlind, 27, spent 2022 recovering from Tommy John, and he had renewed soreness during his rehab, which is part of why he missed the whole year. Hard-Throwers Defensively, he has mostly played second base so far in his professional career, with just a handful of starts at short. The husky Nunez swings really hard and generates big peak exit velocities. Flowers velocity has never really popped in a big way despite some of the late projection because of his conversion. Jerez has above-average power and a 70 arm. Here are the Pirates' 2023 Top 30 prospects March 1, 2023 Pirates' Chandler going all in on pitching February 28, 2023 Pirates return No. Defensively, Nunez has transitioned from full-time third baseman to mostly first base, with a handful of innings in the other corner of the infield still mixed in. Pittsburgh Pirates 2021 Top 50 Prospects Samaniego looks like a typical second lefty out of a bullpen, sitting 92-94 mph with a deceptive, whippy arm action, and locating his fastball with precision on the arm-side part of the plate. He finished 2022 at Altoona and has a chance to be in the big leagues at some point this season. His mother spent her childhood in London, while his father "a real Brit; he still has an . FanGraphs Prospects. FanGraphs Top 43 Pirates prospects blogs.fangraphs Vote 3 comments Best Add a Comment Robert_roberts82 14 min. Martin has plus-plus raw power and a 30-grade hit tool, not enough for first base but maybe enough for consideration overseas. Reports around his once-stellar defense have dimmed, and were hoping its due more to rust and lost time than to an actual regression in ability. Scouting. His breaking ball has inconsistent length and he has a relief-only mechanical look, but hes throwing quite hard. Its a shorter, less natural looking delivery than what Flowers had as an amateur, but hes been able to throw strikes with it. Counter to our past reports, his swing is rather stiff and some of Lopezs length makes him vulnerable to pitches in on his hands. While prospect list ultimately isn't what makes a player great, it is . Very Young Prospects to Monitor Signed as an undrafted free agent in 2021, the 25-year-old right-hander has a degree in microbiology and premedical studies from Oxford, Ohio's Miami University, and he has worked as a . Webbs velocity began to climb in 2019, when he went from sitting 89-92 mph to sitting 90-94 and touching 96. The top of this draft class right now is LSU outfielder Dylan Crews, who had a big weekend. It should be noted that DeVitos development has been plagued by stops and starts caused first by the pandemic and then by an ulnar nerve issue that shortened his 2021 season. He has a delivery similar to Ubaldo Jimnezs, where his front side flies way open and he tilts out, which helps Kellington get to a vertical arm slot. Garcia is only 19 but is already sitting 96. That creates backspin and carry on his fastball and big depth on his curve. His breaking ball is now a mid-80s power breaker thats up to 88-89 at peak and generates plus chase and whiff rates. He used his upper-90s fastball for in-zone whiffs, relying on his above-average slider as a chase pitch. Still right on the cusp of graduating from prospect eligibility, Kranick made four appearances in the minors to start the 2022 season before being called up to the major league bullpen. Big league sliders might force Davis to make an adjustment, but so far his contact performance has been solidly average. Aside from the persistent Bryan Reynolds trade rumors, the general industry sentiment is that the team is shifting from prospect collection mode and into a phase where those players start to arrive. This was a four-year rookie-level player who had suddenly been added to the Royals 40-man roster after the 2021 season even though he had all of 32 innings above Low-A. Jose Tabata / OF. After bouncing around many websites covering hockey, he . Uribe, 20, is a projectable lefty with a 92-93 mph fastball and high-spin breaking ball. It could stand to have more consistent depth, but the flashes are there, and remember that Kennedy is barely 18. Fangraphs Releases Their List of the Top 100+ Prospects Short but not small, his lack of length and size is actually an advantage for Johnsons swing, as he can enjoy a bat path geared for power and lift without it being too long. Connor Scott, RF But given his age and the amount of runway still afforded to him, this was seen as a speed bump for his development rather than being of great concern at the time. His size creates some stiffness and imbalance during his swing, which can lead to him putting suboptimal contact in play. Yean, 21, was once a 40+ FV prospect in Washingtons system. The emergence of a consistently above-average third offering reignited Burrows projection as a starter (he had been projected as a reliever here in previous seasons, in part due to injuries), and of his 24 outings in 2022, only two came out of the bullpen and just four were shorter than three innings. Malone, a former first round high schooler who was part of the Starling Marte trade with Arizona, has barely pitched since he was acquired, and dealt with shoulder injuries in 2022. As a high schooler, his ultra-low spin splitter seemed like the more promising pitch, but his feel for it has regressed. It comes out of his hand from a high arm slot that looks like the kind optimized for data-friendly ride, but the pitchs downhill angle makes it less of a weapon at the letters and actually makes it very vulnerable within the strike zone. Still, his tendency to roll his wrists over early in his swing, breaking up his attack angle, resulted in a groundball rate above 50%. Mets Prospect Grant Hartwig Has an Unusual Background and an East-West There isnt suddenly big power here or anything like that, but its the start of a physical step that was likely necessary for Cheng to take to play major league ball. Its not a great look to lose half a minor league rosters worth of players in the Rule 5, but that whole group might produce one or two big league role players, which is a small price to pay if theyre byprospects of a bigger group from which the Pirates can pick and choose before exposing the rest to that arcane process. A core scouting rule of thumb is to take the long view with catchers who have impact offensive potential. It plays nicely with Flowers plus slider, and he has enough changeup feel to parachute one in against lefties once in a while. After pitching well at the U-18 World Championships and at a Nike showcase in Asia, he signed for about $1.25 million, which is pretty sizable for a late-market signee. He will be an unmistakable fixture on Pittsburghs backfields for the next couple of years and is a power-hitting corner prospect of extreme variance. Still tracking like a high-probability backup catcher, Gutierrez set a career-high in homers in 2022 amid an uptick in strikeouts that his underlying data (just a 10% swinging strike rate) indicates will bounce back to career norms. Solometos fastball sits in the 88-92 mph range. Brennan Malone, RHP. Top 42 Prospects: Pittsburgh Pirates | FanGraphs Baseball Could Solometo eventually throw harder? The average draft position (ADP) included is from Draft Champions leagues from January 19 to February 19 at the NFBC, which you can find here.These leagues draft 50 players and that's all they get for the year no pickups or drops. The Pirates are going to develop him at many different positions with the hope that he can provide a late-game upgrade at a couple different spots (hes already very good at third base), serve as righty power off the bench, and work in middle relief. Its now fair to expect that the current version of Nicolas will be capable of holding down a spot toward the back of Pittsburghs rotation by the middle of 2024. As for the top three prospects on all six lists, their average rankings: Termarr Johnson - 28.2 Endy Rodriguez - 38.5 Henry Davis - 52 John Dreker + posts John started working at Pirates. Ercolani, an 18-year-old righty from San Marino, had a velo spike during the winter and has been up to 97 mph in the bullpen recently. That pitch plays up against lefties for reasons that are probably obvious, but it isnt a nasty pitch in a vacuum. Middle infielder Termarr Johnson, who the Pittsburgh. His slider has a sweeping horizontal shape, but his inability to locate it has hampered its utility. Thats the situation were projecting here. Fangraphs' Top 42 Pirates Prospects Diego Cartaya (37) - Catcher Cartaya is listed a little higher in The. Pro teams are more open to east/west fastball operation and the Pirates might be able to coax more sweep out of Harringtons slider, though Campbell does a pretty good job developing pitchers, so there may be less developmental meat on the bone here than youd guess considering hes coming from a smaller program. He showed a tendency to expand the zone and make some sub-optimal contact as an amateur and in his 2022 pro sample, but there are times when Johnson does this and rather than frustrate scouts and analysts, he impresses them with his ability to identify and adjust to breaking balls, his barrel feel, and his hand-eye coordination. His range, footwork, ability to bend, and overall athleticism are all plus, and it made sense to try to develop him as a shortstop for as long as possible, but Peguero finally saw time at second base in 2022 and a permanent move there will hopefully help him throw more confidently and accurately. Top 35 Prospects: Pittsburgh Pirates | FanGraphs Baseball Manual adjustments are made where they seem appropriate, but we use that as a rule of thumb. Hes been up to 100 mph, sits 96, and has solid glove-side command of a mid-80s slider. 2011 Top 10 Prospects: Cincinnati Reds and Pittsburgh Pirates Fast-Rising Blue Jays Prospect Ricky Tiedemann Talks Pitching Like his other stuff, his feel for location is better than the movement hes creating on the pitch. Silvera, 18, is a physically mature righty who missed a ton of DSL bats even though he only sits 88-90. For the second straight year, he allowed a high rate of home runs, which inflated his ERA. There were only three big league hitters with 100 plate appearances who had sub-70% in-zone contact rates in 2022 (Chris Morel, Brett Phillips, Eli White). Atlanta Braves Stats | FanGraphs Baseball Stratton, 26, sat 94-96 mph in 2022 and has a plus-flashing slider that he rarely throws for strikes. 2 prospect to Minors camp after injury February 24, 2023 Bucs invite top prospects Davis, Johnson, Priester to camp February 2, 2023 Shim realizes first part of dream as prospect signs with Bucs January 26, 2023 Pedro Alvarez / 3B 2. FanGraphs Prospects. Neither his slider nor changeup is fully baked quite yet, but if either (or both) become viable, they would bring with them a higher probability that Priester slots in as a mid-rotation starter. Top Prospects Team Lists 2022 2021 AL NL Pirates Top Prospects Reading Options Detail Level Data Only Full Position Filter All 60 FV Prospects 1. Fourth-round high school pitcher Owen Kellington was a participant in the 2021 Draft League and Combine, and looked like an interesting, slow-burning developmental prospect prior to a hamstring injury than ended his 2022 season. He practically straddles the plate and was hit by 20 pitches during an injury-shortened regular season, then was somehow beaned seven more times in just 17 Arizona Fall League games.